Washington Commanders Playoff Chances: Commanders Playoff Picture

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Fact Checked by Blake Weishaar

Led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, the Washington Commanders locked in a playoff berth during the 2024-25 season. This offseason, they’ve continued building around their young QB, making key upgrades across the roster. Injuries have hit the team in the 2025 season, and their playoff hopes are dwindling by the week. 

Before the week kicks off, the Commanders’ odds to make the playoffs are set at +2000 on DraftKings. Below are Washington’s current playoff chances, courtesy of Virginia sportsbooks. We’ll continue tracking their odds and outlook throughout the season.

Current Washington Commanders Playoff Chances for 2025-26

The Commanders have a good chance of making the playoffs in the upcoming season and currently hold the second-best odds to win the NFC East, showing that bettors and experts alike see them as serious contenders in the NFL.

👍 Make Playoffs:4.76% chance (+2000)
👎 Miss Playoffs:99% chance (-10000)
⭐ Win NFC East:2.17% chance (+4500)
đŸ”„ Win NFC:.5% chance (+20000)
🏆 Win Super Bowl:.2% chance (+50000)
✅ Playoff Odds Last Verified:November 3, 2025

What Are the Chances the Commanders Make the Playoffs?

The Commanders have a 4.76% chance of making the playoffs, based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Odds are used to calculate implied probability, which is where our playoff chances come from.

Keep tabs on the list of Commanders injuries this season to stay informed if making a bet on the Commanders is a smart move or not.

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Who Do the Commanders Play Next?

The Commanders' next game is at Arrowhead Stadium against the Kansas City Chiefs. It will be a major challenge, especially with Jayden Daniels out with an injury. 

Commanders ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 vs. New York GiantsWAS -6, ML -265Won 21-6
Week 2 at Green Bay PackersWAS +3.5, ML +154Lost 27-18
Week 3 vs. Las Vegas RaidersWAS -3.5, ML -175Won 41-24
Week 4 at Atlanta FalconsWAS -2.5, ML -142Lost 34-27
Week 5 at Los Angeles ChargersWAS +2.5, ML +130Won 27-10
Week 6 vs. Chicago BearsWAS -3.5, ML -198Lost 25-24
Week 7 at Dallas CowboysWAS +1.5, ML -108Lost 44-22
Week 8 at Kansas City ChiefsWAS +10.4, ML +490Lost 28-7
Week 9 vs. Seattle SeahawksWAS +3, ML +136Lost 38-14
Week 10 vs. Detroit LionsWAS +7.5, ML +350TBD
Week 11 at Miami DolphinsWAS -4.5, ML -218TBD
Week 12 BYE--
Week 13 vs. Denver BroncosWAS -2.5, ML -135TBD
Week 14 at Minnesota VikingsWAS -1.5, ML -125TBD
Week 15 at New York GiantsWAS -4.5, ML -205TBD
Week 16 vs. Philadelphia EaglesWAS +1.5, ML +105TBD
Week 17 vs. Dallas CowboysWAS -5.5, ML -245TBD
Week 18 at Philadelphia EaglesWAS +4.5, ML +180TBD

Can the Commanders Clinch a Playoff Spot?

Yes, the Commanders have a chance of clinching a playoff spot again this year. While the season hasn’t started yet and every team is technically in the mix, Washington’s momentum from last year’s wild-card appearance makes its outlook especially promising. If the Commanders continue to build on last season’s success, the postseason could be within reach once again.

Commanders Playoff Picture

Here are the current standings from the 2025-26 season. 

NFC Division LeadersRecordDivision Lead
1. Philadelphia Eagles6-2NFC East 
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers6-2NFC South 
3. Seattle Seahawks6-2NFC West 
4. Green Bay Packers5-2-1NFC North 
NFC Wild CardRecordDivisionGames From Playoff Spot
1. Los Angeles Rams6-3NFC West 
2. San Francisco 49ers6-3NFC West-
3. Detroit Lions5-3NFC North 
NFC In the HuntRecordDivisionGames From Playoff Spot
4. Chicago Bears5-3NFC North 
5. Carolina Panthers5-4NFC South.5
6. Minnesota Vikings4-4NFC North1
7. Dallas Cowboys3-4-1NFC East1.5
8. Atlanta Falcons3-5NFC South2
9. Washington Commanders3-6NFC East2.5
10. Arizona Cardinals2-5NFC West2.5
11. New York Giants2-7NFC East3.5
12. New Orleans Saints1-8NFC South4.5

Where Are the Commanders in the NFC East Divisional Race?

The Commanders finished second in the NFC East in 2024. Ahead of Week 10 of the 2025 season, Washington has the third-best odds to win the division.

  1. Philadelphia Eagles -1200
  2. Dallas Cowboys +1100
  3. Washington Commanders +4500
  4. New York Giants +35000

Where Are the Commanders in the NFC Wild Card Race?

The Commanders are currently 2.5 games out of the final NFC Wild Card spot, as they have struggled to start the season. With Jayden Daniels dealing with injury, it's been a rough time in Landover this season. 


The Commanders will play five primetime games this season. Notable Matchups:


Commanders RB Brian Robinson

Where to Bet on the Washington Commanders Making the Playoffs

You can bet on the Commanders to make the playoffs at all major sportsbooks in Virginia, Maryland, and Washington, D.C. Keep in mind these odds are dynamic, and they can change in an instant. Most major sportsbooks in the U.S., like BetMGM Virginia, Fanatics, or Caesars, offer this market. To place a wager on the Commanders to make the playoffs, you must be 21 or older and in a state that has legal sports betting through licensed operators.

Looking at the Commanders Playoff History & Results

The Commanders have a lengthy playoff history, though the 2000s haven't been kind to them. Washington has played in 46 postseason games, going 25-21, with Super Bowl victories in 1982, 1987, and 1991. However, Washington has only won three playoff games in the 2000s, two of them coming from the 2024-25 season.

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Commanders Playoff Chances & Scenarios FAQs

Author

Wes Roesch

Wes is an editor and writer for BetVirginia.com. Based out of the Kansas City area, Wes has covered sports professionally since 2015 with a strong emphasis on sports betting and the NFL, though he's also covered pro wrestling, UFC, college sports and more.

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