Washington Commanders Playoff Chances: Commanders Playoff Picture

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Led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, the Washington Commanders locked in a playoff berth during the 2024-25 season. This offseason, they’ve continued building around their young QB, making key upgrades across the roster. With that momentum, Washington is in a strong position to make another playoff run. The Commanders have promising odds across the board ahead of the season, making them a team worth keeping an eye on.

Before the season kicks off, the Commanders’ odds to make the playoffs are set at -125 on DraftKings. Below are Washington’s current playoff chances, courtesy of Virginia sportsbooks. We’ll continue tracking their odds and outlook throughout the season.

Current Washington Commanders Playoff Chances for 2025-26

The Commanders have a good chance of making the playoffs in the upcoming season and currently hold the second-best odds to win the NFC East, showing that bettors and experts alike see them as serious contenders in the NFL.

👍 Make Playoffs:55.6% chance (-125)
👎 Miss Playoffs:48.8% chance (+105)
⭐ Win NFC East:27.8% chance (+260)
đŸ”„ Win NFC:8.33% chance (+1100)
🏆 Win Super Bowl:3.85% chance (+2500)
✅ Playoff Odds Last Verified:September 17, 2025

What Are the Chances the Commanders Make the Playoffs?

The Commanders have a 55.6% chance of making the playoffs, based on odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Odds are used to calculate implied probability, which is where our playoff chances come from.

Keep tabs on the list of Commanders injuries this season to stay informed if making a bet on the Commanders is a smart move or not.

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Who Do the Commanders Play Next?

The Commanders kicked off the 2025-26 season at home against the New York Giants. They’ll be in the spotlight with five primetime games, including Monday Night Football matchups against the Bears and Chiefs, a Thursday night game versus the Packers, and a Christmas Day showdown with the Cowboys.

Commanders ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 vs. New York GiantsWAS -6, ML -265Won 21-6
Week 2 at Green Bay PackersWAS +3.5, ML +154Lost 27-18
Week 3 vs. Las Vegas RaidersWAS -3.5, ML -185TBD
Week 4 at Atlanta FalconsWAS -3.5, ML -185TBD
Week 5 at Los Angeles ChargersWAS +1.5, ML +105TBD
Week 6 vs. Chicago BearsWAS -4.5, ML -218TBD
Week 7 at Dallas CowboysWAS -2.5, ML -148TBD
Week 8 at Kansas City ChiefsWAS +3.5, ML +164TBD
Week 9 vs. Seattle SeahawksWAS -5.5, ML -250TBD
Week 10 vs. Detroit LionsWAS -1.5, ML -125TBD
Week 11 at Miami DolphinsWAS -4.5, ML -218TBD
Week 12 BYE--
Week 13 vs. Denver BroncosWAS -2.5, ML -135TBD
Week 14 at Minnesota VikingsWAS -1.5, ML -125TBD
Week 15 at New York GiantsWAS -4.5, ML -205TBD
Week 16 vs. Philadelphia EaglesWAS +1.5, ML +105TBD
Week 17 vs. Dallas CowboysWAS -5.5, ML -245TBD
Week 18 at Philadelphia EaglesWAS +4.5, ML +180TBD

Can the Commanders Clinch a Playoff Spot?

Yes, the Commanders have a chance of clinching a playoff spot again this year. While the season hasn’t started yet and every team is technically in the mix, Washington’s momentum from last year’s wild-card appearance makes its outlook especially promising. If the Commanders continue to build on last season’s success, the postseason could be within reach once again.

Commanders Playoff Picture

Here are the current standings from the 2025-26 season. 

NFC Division LeadersRecordDivision Division 
1. Green Bay Packers2-0NFC North 
2. San Francisco 49ers2-0NFC West 
3. Philadelphia Eagles2-0NFC East 
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers2-0NFC South 
NFC Wild CardRecordDivisionGames From Playoff Spot
1. Arizona Cardinals2-0NFC West-
2. Los Angeles Rams2-0NFC West-
3. Atlanta Falcons1-1NFC South 
NFC In the HuntRecordDivisionGames From Playoff Spot
4. Washington Commanders1-1NFC East 
5. Dallas Cowboys1-1NFC East 
6. Minnesota Vikings1-1NFC North 
7. Detroit Lions1-1NFC North 
8. Seattle Seahawks1-1NFC West 
9. Carolina Panthers0-2NFC South1
10. New Orleans Saints0-2NFC South1
11. Chicago Bears 0-2NFC North1
12. New York Giants0-2NFC East1

Where Are the Commanders in the NFC East Divisional Race?

The Commanders finished second in the NFC East in 2024. Ahead of the 2025 season, Washington has the second-best odds to win the division.

  1. Philadelphia Eagles -225
  2. Washington Commanders +260
  3. Dallas Cowboys +1000
  4. New York Giants +4500

Where Are the Commanders in the NFC Wild Card Race?

The Commanders finished the 2024-25 season as the No. 6 seed, earning a spot in the playoffs before falling to the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC Championship. Once the 2025 season gets underway, we’ll have a clearer picture of the playoff race. But it likely won’t be until later in the season that the wild-card contenders start to separate themselves. We expect the Commanders to be right in the mix.


The Commanders will play five primetime games this season. Notable Matchups:


Commanders RB Brian Robinson

Where to Bet on the Washington Commanders Making the Playoffs

You can bet on the Commanders to make the playoffs at all major sportsbooks in Virginia, Maryland, and Washington, D.C. Keep in mind these odds are dynamic, and they can change in an instant. Most major sportsbooks in the U.S., like BetMGM Virginia, Fanatics, or Caesars, offer this market. To place a wager on the Commanders to make the playoffs, you must be 21 or older and in a state that has legal sports betting through licensed operators.

Looking at the Commanders Playoff History & Results

The Commanders have a lengthy playoff history, though the 2000s haven't been kind to them. Washington has played in 46 postseason games, going 25-21, with Super Bowl victories in 1982, 1987, and 1991. However, Washington has only won three playoff games in the 2000s, two of them coming from the 2024-25 season.

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Commanders Playoff Chances & Scenarios FAQs

Author

Wes Roesch

Wes is an editor and writer for BetVirginia.com. Based out of the Kansas City area, Wes has covered sports professionally since 2015 with a strong emphasis on sports betting and the NFL, though he's also covered pro wrestling, UFC, college sports and more.

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