Kamala Harris Presidential Odds: Democratic President Nominee & 2024 Election Odds

Vice President Kamala Harris

Vice President Kamala Harris’ presidential odds remain relatively low amid the speculation taking place across the country. Virginia sportsbooks cannot offer odds on the race, but political betting is a very popular market in Canada and Europe. 

The future of President Joe Biden’s re-election campaign remains cloudy as concerns persist that he will exit the race. More than a week after his debate performance against former President Donald Trump, Biden continues to play defense against calls for him to step aside.

Should Biden decide to exit the campaign, the question will then become: Who would the Democrats nominate at their convention, set for Aug. 19-22 in Chicago? 

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Latest Kamala Harris Odds to be President: July 2024

Below are the latest odds for Kamala Harris to be president. None of the odds you see are legal to bet on on any legal Virginia betting apps.

1. Donald Trump-188
2. Joe Biden+400
3. Kamala Harris+600
4. Michelle Obama+1600
5. Gavin Newsom+1800
Odds Last VerifiedJuly 2024

Odds posted by bet365.

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Is Kamala Harris Running for President in 2024?

As of now, Vice President Kamala Harris remains the likely Democratic candidate for her current office with President Biden being the presumptive nominee. However, should Biden step down from the race, it’s likely Harris will become the party’s candidate.

Who Would Harris Run Against?

Harris’ main opponent would be former President Donald Trump, who has secured enough delegates to be the Republican nominee and is widely expected to be formally nominated when the GOP holds its convention, July 15-18 in Milwaukee.

Who Would be Kamala Harris’ Vice President Running Mate?

Harris would have several candidates as her possible vice presidential pick. From a purely political viewpoint, the most likely selection would be either Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer or Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro. Both are Democratic leaders who are popular in their states, and Democrats need to win both states if the party wants to keep hold of the White House.

What Are the Chances Harris Wins the Presidency in November 2024?

Based on the current odds at bet365, Harris has a 14.3% chance of winning the election. Those odds will change drastically once it becomes clearer who will be the Democratic nominee. However, even if she becomes the Democrats’ choice, she’ll likely remain the underdog to Trump, at least initially.

Where Does Kamala Harris Sit in Presidential Polls?

CNN released a poll on July 2 showing Trump leading Harris 47-45. The vice president fared better against Trump than Biden, who was down 49-43. Harris is within the margin of error in the CNN poll, which also found independents favor her over Trump, as do a majority of self-described moderate voters.

Breaking Down Kamala Harris' Approval Rating in 2024

Harris, like Biden, is underwater in approval polls. One taken by YouGov for The Economist last week showed 53% disapproved of her, compared to 37% who liked the job she was doing. In the same poll, 58% did not like the job Biden has done in office, compared to 37% who liked his performance.

Kamala Harris 2024 Democratic Nominee Odds

At one point in July, Harris was the favorite to become the Democratic nominee. However, the odds have settled back to Biden. Harris, though, still has a nearly 30% chance based on the odds posted by bet365 – note that this is not available at bet365 Virginia Sportsbook. This is from the company’s UK website. Betting on politics is not allowed at any legal, regulated sportsbook in the United States but it is allowed in Britain.

1. Joe Biden-175
2. Kamala Harris+240
3. Gavin Newsom+1000
4. Michelle Obama+1100
5. Gretchen Whitmer+2200
Odds Last VerifiedJuly 2024

Latest Key Developments For Kamala Harris' Presidential Odds

  • đź“… July 8, 2024: President Biden sends a letter to Democratic lawmakers on Capitol Hill, telling them he is “firmly committed” to remaining in the 2024 Presidential Election.
  • đź“… July 5, 2024: Biden has a 20-minute plus interview with George Stephanopoulos of ABC News, where the president accounts for his dismal debate showing against former President Trump.
  • đź“… June 27, 2024: Biden’s performance in a live televised debate against Trump reignites speculation that the 81-year-old might need to step aside as the Democratic nominee.
  • đź“… March 12, 2024: Biden secures enough delegates through primaries held on “Super Tuesday” to become the party’s presumptive nominee. Those delegates will formally decide on the candidate when the party holds its convention in August in Chicago.
  • đź“… April 25, 2024: Biden formally announces his campaign for re-election with Harris once again on the ticket.
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Looking Ahead: What Are Harris’ Odds to be President in 2028?

Should Biden formally become the Democrats’ nominee in 2024, then Harris will be among the favorites to run in four years. She, however, will have plenty of company as Newsom, Whitmer and other Democrats vie for the nomination. While 2028 is still a long way away, she now has about a 33% chance of winning election in four years.

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Kamala Harris Odds FAQs

Author

Steve Bittenbender

Steve is an accomplished, award-winning reporter with more than 20 years of experience covering gaming, sports, politics and business. He has written for the Associated Press, Reuters, The Louisville Courier Journal, The Center Square and numerous other publications. Based in Louisville, Ky., Steve has covered the expansion of sports betting in the U.S. and other gaming matters.

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