Washington Commanders Super Bowl Odds: Tracking Changes Week 14

Fact Checked by Blake Weishaar
Sam Howell passes the ball

  • The Commanders' Super Bowl odds are +100000, which are tied for the longest odds in the NFL.
  • Using implied probability, the Commanders have a 0.1% chance of winning the Super Bowl in 2024, which is the lowest in their division.
  • The Commanders have not been thought of as Super Bowl contenders for much of the past two decades.
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The Commanders' playoff chances are virtually nonexistent. They suffered another loss last Sunday, this time to a significantly stronger opponent. Regardless, the Commanders' season is effectively over, and they are poised to be formally excluded from the playoffs in the coming two weeks.

I'll continue to monitor and update the Commanders' Super Bowl odds provided by Virginia sports betting opeartors throughout the season, just in case there's a sudden and dramatic reversal of fortune for Washington. However, such a turnaround would need to occur ASAP, and even then, it might not be sufficient. With a bye week ahead, Washington won't have the opportunity to improve their situation with a victory. I will be updating the Commanders' Super Bowl odds throughout the season.

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Commanders Super Bowl 58 Odds: December 8, 2023

The Commanders' Super Bowl odds are +100000, per ESPN BET Virginia, which is where they were a week ago. Also, here are the current odds for Washington to win the NFC, win the NFC East, and make or miss the playoffs this season.

πŸ‘‘ Odds to Win SBLVIII+100000
πŸ† Odds to Win NFCOff The Board
⭐ Odds to Win NFC EastOff The Board
πŸ”₯ Odds to Make PlayoffsOff The Board

The Commanders' Super Bowl odds have stayed the same at Virginia sportsbooks over the last week. Washington was +100000 to win the Super Bowl, and now they are +100000. Their implied probability of winning the Super Bowl is 0.1%.

Note that some Virginia sports betting promos could improve your odds wile betting on the Commanders. 

Every week this offseason and every day during the 2023-24 NFL regular season, I will be tracking and updating the Commanders' Super Bowl odds, their odds of winning the NFC East, and their odds of winning the NFC. I encourage you to bookmark this page so you stay up to date with the latest Commanders' developments.

Commanders Super Bowl Odds vs. NFC East

As it stands now, the Commanders are expected to finish last in the NFC East. Washington is not listed with a chance to win the NFC East at ESPN BET Sportsbook.

The Cowboys and Eagles, two of Washington's NFC East foes, are considered to be two of the best teams in not just the NFC but the entire NFL. The Eagles are 10-2 and are expected to make the playoffs as well as be the No. 1 seed. Dallas is also a surefire playoff team with Super Bowl aspirations.

Washington is expected to finish last in the NFC East. New York and Washington are now tied for the worst odds of winning the Super Bowl (+100000).

Washington Commanders Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds

As we and oddsmakers are exposed to new information, the odds of Washington winning the Super Bowl will change weekly, if not daily. Washington is currently a 10-point underdog for Week 13 of the NFL season.

  • Week 1: +6500
  • Week 2: +8000
  • Week 3: +7500
  • Week 4: +7500
  • Week 5: +8000
  • Week 6: +15000
  • Week 7: +13000
  • Week 8: +25000
  • Week 9: +25000
  • Week 10: +25000
  • Week 11: +30000
  • Week 12: +50000
  • Week 13: +100000
  • Week 14: +100000

As each week progresses in the NFL, the odds will shift for each team. The more you win, the better chance you have of making the playoffs, and vice versa. After seeing how you perform, as well as accounting for injuries, the market upgrades and downgrades teams as they see fit.

Latest Updates Impacting Commanders Odds to Win SB LVIII

As news surrounding the Commanders comes out, there will be movement in Washington’s odds of winning the Super Bowl. I will be making note of key updates from the Commanders and explaining how they will impact Washington’s Super Bowl odds. Odds move based on results, injuries, news, and a whole lot more. 

Here are key updates that impact the Washington Commanders' Odds to win SB LVIII:

  • πŸ“† December 3rd: Washington suffered a 45-15 loss at home against the Dolphins
  • πŸ“† November 24: Washington fired Defensive Coordinator Jack Del Rio. Head Coach Ron Rivera will take over defensive play-calling duties.
  • πŸ“† November 23: Washington was destroyed on Thanksgiving 45-10 in Dallas
  • πŸ“† November 19: Washington lost at home to the Giants as a 7.5-point favorite.
  • πŸ“† November 12: Washington lost a close game to another NFC foe, and they fell to 4-6.
  • πŸ“† November 5: Washington beat the Patriots as three-point road underdogs to improve to 4-5.
  • πŸ“† October 31: Washington traded starting DEs Montez Sweat and Chase Young as they look toward the future.
  • πŸ“† October 30: Washington lost their second game of the season to the Eagles to fall to 3-5.
  • πŸ“† October 22: Washington lost as three-point away favorites against the Giants to fall to 3-4.
  • πŸ“† October 15: Washington went into Atlanta and beat the Falcons to improve to 3-3 despite being outgained by over 200 yards in the game.
  • πŸ“† October 5: Washington lost to the Bears 40-20 at home, and this loss plummeted their Super Bowl odds.
  • πŸ“† October 1: Washington loses to Philadelphia in overtime and falls to 2-2.
  • πŸ“† September 24: Washington drops to 2-1 after an embarrassing home loss to the Buffalo Bills.
  • πŸ“† September 17: Washington improves to 2-0 after a come-from-behind victory against the Broncos in Denver.
  • πŸ“† September 10: Washington defeated the Arizona Cardinals 20-16 in the season opener.
  • πŸ“† August 21: Washington won their second preseason game of the 2023 season, and their win against the Ravens ends their 24-0 preseason record.
  • πŸ“† August 11: Washington wins their preseason opener 17-15 against the Cleveland Browns.
  • πŸ“† July 20: NFL owners approved the sale of the Commanders to a group led by Josh Harris
  • πŸ“† April 27: Washington selected CB Emmanual Forbes in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft to bolster its secondary. Washington made seven selections in this year's draft. 
  • πŸ“† March 13: Washington extended star DT Daron Payne who signed a four-year, $90 million contract extension.
  • πŸ“† February 17: Washington named two-time Super Bowl champion Eric Bieniemy as their offensive coordinator and assistant head coach
  • πŸ“† February 13: Sportsbooks in Virginia released opening Super Bowl odds following the end of the 2022-23 NFL season. Washington opened with +6600 odds of winning Super Bowl LVIII.

As each week progresses in the NFL, the odds will shift for each team. The more you win, the better chance you have of making the playoffs, and vice versa. After seeing how you perform, as well as accounting for injuries, the market upgrades and downgrades teams as they see fit.

Washington Commanders Schedule and Betting Lines

Washington finished in last place in the NFC East in 2022, so Washington will get a last-place schedule this season. However, since the NFC East takes on the AFC East, the NFC West, and of course, its own division, Washington has a tough schedule this season. Check out the odds for each game on the 2023 Washington Commanders schedule below:

πŸ“† Week 1 vs. Arizona CardinalsWin, 20-16
πŸ“† Week 2 at Denver BroncosWin, 35-33
πŸ“† Week 3 vs. Buffalo BillsLoss, 37-3
πŸ“† Week 4 at Philadelphia EaglesLoss, 34-31
πŸ“† Week 5 vs. Chicago BearsLoss, 40-20
πŸ“† Week 6 at Atlanta FalconsWin, 24-16
πŸ“† Week 7 at New York GiantsLoss, 14-7
πŸ“† Week 8 vs. Philadelphia EaglesLoss, 38-31
πŸ“† Week 9 at New England PatriotsWin, 20-17
πŸ“† Week 10BYE WEEK
πŸ“† Week 11 at Seattle SeahawksLoss, 29-26
πŸ“† Week 12 vs New York GiantsLoss, 31-19
πŸ“† Week 13 at Dallas CowboysLoss, 45-10
πŸ“† Week 14 vs. Miami DolphinsLoss, 45-15
πŸ“† Week 15 at Los Angeles RamsCommanders +1, ML -105
πŸ“† Week 16 at New York JetsCommanders +5.5, ML +180
πŸ“† Week 17 vs. San Francisco 49ersCommanders +3.5, ML +142
πŸ“† Week 18 vs. Dallas CowboysCommanders +3, ML +130
βœ… Data Last Verified by ExpertDecember 8, 2023

Washington finished in last place in the NFC East in 2022, so Washington will get a last-place schedule this season. However, since the NFC East takes on the AFC East, the NFC West, and of course, its own division, Washington has a tough schedule this season. The Commanders will have ten games against opponents who made the playoffs last season. Based on power ratings and other factors, the Commanders face arguably one of the hardest schedules in the NFL next season.

Key Contributors Toward Commanders Super Bowl Odds

It would be ideal if any member of the Commanders could contribute to improving Washington's playoff chances, but regrettably, it appears to be too little, too late. Sam Howell has showcased both impressive and disappointing moments. Washington's key offensive players, namely Brian Robinson, Terry McLaurin, and Jahan Dotson have all experienced seasons ranging from mediocre to lackluster. The team is currently prioritizing its future development.

Before the trade deadline, Washington traded away arguably their two best defenders, resulting in a decline in the defense's performance from bad to outright terrible. Both Jon Allen and Daron Payne have had subpar seasons, and the team's secondary is currently ranked as the weakest in football.

Not only does Washington lag behind in terms of talent, but they also suffer from having one of the least effective coaching staffs in the league. Significant changes are anticipated in Washington at the conclusion of this season.

Where Can I Bet on the Washington Commanders to Win the Super Bowl?

You can bet on the Commanders to win the Super Bowl at any and all of the licensed and legal sports books in Virginia. Some of the most well-known brands are BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel, and Caesars. Each sportsbook has odds for all 32 teams to win the Super Bowl – not just the Commanders. I also recommend you take a look at current promos to take advantage of before placing a wager on an NFL team to win the Super Bowl.

Popular Types of Sports Betting on Commanders Odds

Here are some popular types of bets you can make on the Commanders in VA.

Super Bowl Futures

Throughout the course of the season, you can place future bets on who will win the Super Bowl. These odds are dynamic and will change based on a variety of factors, but at all VA sportsbooks, you can head on over the the "futures" section and bet on the Commanders to win the Super Bowl.

Prop Bets

Prop bets are a very popular way to bet on the NFL. In the Super Bowl, there are a wide variety of game props and player props. Game props are props like the time of the national anthem or the result of the coin flip. Player props are bets like Terry McLaurin scoring a touchdown or Antonio Gibson recording more than 50 rushing yards.

Point Spread

Point spread betting is the most basic way to bet on the Super Bowl. A point spread is the addition or subtraction of points from a team's final score. Whichever team is getting points is the underdog, and whichever team is laying points is the favorite.

Live Betting

During the Super Bowl, you can bet on the game while it is happening. If Washington was losing in the first quarter, but you expect them to come back and win, you can live bet Washington to win at better odds.

Bonus Bets

By using different legal sportsbooks in Virginia, you can receive bonus bets throughout the season. These are a great way to build up your bankroll before betting on the Super Bowl.

Washington Commanders Super Bowl LVIII Outlook and Predictions

The Super Bowl odds for Washington seem accurately priced by oddsmakers. Yes, they won four games, but their wins were not inspiring, and they got beaten badly by a good team, lost to another twice, and then lost to two bad teams. The Commanders are hindered by a subpar head coach, their starting QB has work to do, and they have one of the weakest offensive lines in the NFL, which is one of the most important positional units. Now, Washington sold assets, which signifies they are okay with losing. The team plays hard, but now, they are just not talented.

The Commanders' most recent playoff appearance was in 2020, but even during that season, they finished with a losing record, and it was the Covid season where everything was out of whack. Despite the optimism stemming from the team's ownership change, the current setbacks posed by their head coach, offensive line, and quarterback are likely to impede their progress – a sentiment mirrored by the betting market.

Washington Commanders Super Bowl History

If you are new to following football, you would think that the Commanders are one of the worst franchises in the history of the sport. This is the opposite of the truth. Washington has won three Super Bowls in their history, and they have appeared in five. Their most recent win was the 1991-92 season, and their most recent Super Bowl loss was the 1983-84 season. Washington made back-to-back Super Bowls in 1983 and 1984.

Have the Commanders Ever Won the Super Bowl?

Yes, the Washington Commanders have won three Super Bowl rings in five Super Bowl appearances. Their most recent loss was at the hands of the Raiders in 1983-84, and their most recent win came against the Buffalo Bills in 1991-92. Washington also won two NFL Championships before the merger.

How Many Super Bowls Have the Washington Commanders Won?

The Washington Commanders have won the Super Bowl and hoisted the Lombardi Trophy three times. Washington has made 19 postseason appearances since the merger, and they have an overall record of 20-16 during that span. The Commanders have not been to the Super Bowl since 1991-92.

How Many Times Have the Commanders Won the Super Bowl?

The Commanders have won the Super Bowl three times. Though it is hard to believe now, the Commanders are one of the most respected organizations in the NFL. Washington was at its best during the 1980s and 1990s, and four of their five appearances came between 1980 and 1992.

Which Years Did the Washington Commanders Go to the Super Bowl?

Yes, the Washington Commanders have been to the Super Bowl five times, and they have won three times. Washington beat the Bills, Broncos, and Dolphins in the Super Bowl. Their two losses came at the hands of the Dolphins and the Raiders. Check out the Commanders' Super Bowl history below:

  • 1972: Lost Super Bowl VII 14-7 to the undefeated Miami Dolphins.
  • 1982: Won Super Bowl XVII 27-17 against the Miami Dolphins in the strike-shortened season.
  • 1983: Lost Super Bowl XVIII 38-9 against the Los Angeles Raiders. Washington had the chance to win back-to-back Super Bowls.
  • 1987: Won Super Bowl XXII 42-10 against the Denver Broncos in another strike-shortened season.
  • 1991: Won Suoer Bowl XXVI 37-24 against the Buffalo Bills. Washington was 1402 heading into the playoffs that season.

In 1972, Washington lost the Super Bowl to the only team in NFL history to go undefeated throughout the regular season.

In 1982, Washington got their revenge against Miami in a strike-shortened season. Only nine games were played due to a 57-day-long players' strike. Washington finished the regular season 8-1 before winning the Super Bowl.

In 1983, Washington had a chance to win back-to-back Super Bowls, but they fell short against the Raiders. Washington entered the playoffs 14-2 before posting by 29 points in Super Bowl XVIII.

In 1987, Washington was victorious in another strike-shortened season. Washington beat the Broncos 42-10.

In 1991, Washington took home their third Super Bowl with a 37-24 win against Jim Kelly and the Bills. Washington won their third Super Bowl in 10 years and they won all three with different QBs under center.

Washington has not made the Super Bowl since they beat the Bills in 1991-92. In fact, they have not made it to the NFC Championship game since then, either. According to oddsmakers, Washington is not expected to make another NFC Championship game or win a Super Bowl this upcoming season.

How Many Times Have the Washington Commanders Been to the NFC Championship Game?

The Commanders have been to six NFC Championship games, and they won five of them. These appearances were in 1972, 1982, 1983, 1986, 1987, and 1991.

The Commanders have five NFC titles in their history. Their wins came against the Cowboys in 1972, the Cowboys in 1982, the 49ers in 1983, the Vikings in 1987, and the Lions in 1991. Washington won three of their five Super Bowl appearances.

Commanders Preseason Super Bowl Odds Every Year Since 2000

In order to see how the market has viewed Washington in the past, I have outlined the Commanders’ preseason Super Bowl odds from every year since 2000

πŸ“† 2022-2023Preseason Odds = +8000
πŸ“† 2021-2022Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2020-2021Preseason Odds = +30000
πŸ“† 2019-2020Preseason Odds = +30000
πŸ“† 2018-2019Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2017-2018Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2016-2017Preseason Odds = +2500
πŸ“† 2015-2016Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2014-2015Preseason Odds = +6000
πŸ“† 2013-2014Preseason Odds = +3300
πŸ“† 2012-2013Preseason Odds = +6600
πŸ“† 2011-2012Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2010-2011Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2009-2010Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2008-2009Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2007-2008Preseason Odds = +5000
πŸ“† 2006-2007Preseason Odds = +1600
πŸ“† 2005-2006Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2004-2005Preseason Odds = +1300
πŸ“† 2003-2004Preseason Odds = +3500
πŸ“† 2002-2003Preseason Odds = +2500
πŸ“† 2001-2002Preseason Odds = +1500
πŸ“† 2000-2001Preseason Odds = +350

Washington’s 2001-02 (+350) preseason has by far their shortest odds of winning the Super Bowl. Washington has not come close to that number in the last two decades.

The worst preseason odds Washington has seen in the past two decades were +30000 in 2020-21. However, Washington won the NFC East that year and had a home playoff game against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers.

If you want more information on the Commanders' playoff chances, I have an entirely separate page dedicated to just that. Over there, I am tracking Washington’s postseason odds based on any news and notes coming from the team.

Washington Commanders Super Bowl FAQs


Eric Pauly focuses his time on reviewing the top sportsbooks and casinos in the world to ensure gamers and bettors know exactly what they are getting when they sign-up to a new site or download a new betting app. Eric also loves sports betting and considers himself an avid sports bettor, despite handicapping not being his core focus.

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